Why does the textile market not pick up?
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Affected by the debt crisis in Europe and the United States, exports are not strong, and the transformation is difficult due to cost pressure. The downstream demand in the textile market is not hot and the slow destocking determines that even if there is a technical correction in individual varieties in the market, the overall situation is still not optimistic.
In the third week of November, the textile market did not change much, and there was no trend of sharp rise and fall. The two main industrial chains, the cotton textile industry chain and the chemical fiber industry chain, run counter to the price trend: the cotton market fell slightly, and the chemical fiber market rose slightly, but the magnitude was not large, but the market's response was adjusted. The rise and fall of the industrial chain is basically the role of mutual transmission between products, and the root cause seems to be a withdrawal: both are affected by downstream usage and downstream product inventory.
Chemical fiber "fake" up cotton market weakness
The chemical fiber market still did not improve much this week, the operating conditions of downstream textile terminal enterprises are still under pressure, the demand for upstream products is not strong, and the market support is still insufficient.
This week, there was a slight increase in the chemical fiber industry chain, but the momentum basically ended within 0.5 percentage points, which shows the trend of false rise.
From the product point of view, polyester filament only individual specifications have increased in price, while other polyester products have not shown signs of rising, indicating that the volatility of the interval is mainly adjusted accordingly with different trading days of the market.
The PTA market as a whole showed a small rise, but judging from the market within a week, it fell from Tuesday to the weekend, but the decline did not reach the parallel line at the beginning of the week.
The cotton textile industry chain is the opposite of the chemical fiber industry chain. This week, the cotton market is still weak and has a downward trend.
The lint market has not fallen much, but the downstream cotton market has fallen by more than 1 percentage point, which also shows that the decline in the cotton market is mainly affected by the transmission factors of the downstream market.
Recently, with the improvement of the enthusiasm of cotton farmers, the amount of cotton on the market has gradually increased. On the downstream side, under the problems of electricity shortage, labor shortage, RMB appreciation and other factors, the living environment of textile enterprises is poor, the production capacity is still not improved, and the product inventory has not changed. This situation continues, the whole cotton market is still tired.
Demand and dosage are the most critical factors affecting the cotton market this year. It is reported that the national cotton planting area increased by 8.5 and the total output increased by 21.2 in 2011. Thus, the domestic cotton market fell this year and the increase in output was one of the reasons. The second is the usage. Although the output has increased, the consumption of cotton in the textile industry has not increased this year, and various substitutes have come to the top, causing a great blow to the cotton market.
In addition, the silk market this week little change, only a technical adjustment. This week, the market's vision is mainly focused on the disk. The disk price has rebounded, but the support is insufficient and the position is not large. Therefore, the powerful price support has not yet appeared.
At present, the work of cocoon drying has ended, and the price of cocoon drying has little impact on the price of the whole cocoon silk market. The debt crisis in the periphery of Europe and the United States is still cloudy, silk consumption is still not optimistic, the market is still flat.
The market is not now a big color
Looking at the whole industry, from the market data, the textile market has not improved much this week. Even the chemical fiber industry chain with a small rise is only a market adjustment, and the phenomenon of false rise is obvious. And the cotton textile market is still weak, sad still. The entire textile market still does not have a big support, the domestic textile industry environment has not improved since the fall of cotton prices, exports are sluggish, and production is not optimistic. Product inventory and production costs are under great pressure, and the transformation of enterprises is not easy, but the reshuffle is carried out all the time. The crisis faced by textile enterprises this year is no less than that of last year. For example, the enterprise crisis has now become a frequent phenomenon in the textile industry. There are many cases in which the boss of a clothing enterprise fled for financial reasons. It can be seen that the crisis in the textile industry this year has been very serious.
If labor cost pressure, poor exports and other factors are inevitable external hard pressure, then the rise of raw materials has obviously become a "soft stumbling block" to the growth of enterprises.
In fact, for the entire industry, the raw material price crisis can be avoided to a large extent. It could have been controlled within a range to prevent a big rise or fall, but it always backfired.